The outlook for Engineering, Construction and Projects is best represented by activities related to development projects, i.e. offshore fabrication, supply of linepipes, oshore installation, hook-up and commissioning as well as decommissioning. Typical upstream project development comprises Engineering, Procurement, Construction, Installation, Hook-up and Commissioning (EPCIC) stages.
For the purpose of this report, the timeline for each project is segregated into four stages, i.e. (i) Engineering and (ii) Fabrication (iii) Installation and (iv) Hook-up and Commissioning. There may be an overlap of activities between the four stages, as depicted by the gradient. Also provided are indicators for facility type.
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Offshore Fabrication
Offshore fabrication outlook is provided for fixed and floating structures, with actual or planned contract award date as the indicator of commencement of fabrication activity.
Fixed Structures: Wellhead Platform/Central Processing Platform
- All requirements for the next two years have not been contracted yet.
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Floating Structures: Floaters
Floaters refer to non-fixed structures involved in processing and/or the storage of hydrocarbons, i.e. Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO), Floating Storage and Offloading (FSO) and Mobile Offshore Production Units (MOPU).
- All requirements for the next two years have not been contracted.
- Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) and robust economics are the key industry priorities of various stakeholders in maintaining the license to operate in pursuing new floater projects.
- Technology advancements for lower-carbon solutions are continuously being harnessed within the floaters fraternity in supporting Net Zero Carbon Emissions (NZCE) 2050 aspirations.
- Operators are constantly looking for new ways to contract capable players and improve the bankability of their contracts to meet the growing demand for local floaters and keep up with market trends.
- The local floaters market offers great opportunities for new entrants to expand their services and offerings in medium-sized projects, which are less competitive than the mega projects elsewhere.
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Subsea Structures
Subsea structures are facilities located on the sea floor, as opposed to on the surface. Petroleum is extracted from the sea floor and then “tied-back” to an existing production platform using Subsea Umbilical, Riser and Flowline (SURF) facilities.
- All requirements for 2024 have not been contracted.
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Offshore Installation
Offshore installation outlook for each project is provided by the type of installation barge required for the facility installation, i.e. heavy lift, floatover or pipelaying barge.
- Outlook number is measured in terms of number of lifts, counted separately for each jacket and topside, and excludes heavy lift barges utilisation for facilities decommissioning.
- Positive demand in the oil and gas and wind sector is expected to drive heavy lift utilisation growth in 2023-2030, posing challenges in security of supply.
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Structural Installation - Floatover
- For 2023, one Central Processing Platforms (CPP) was deferred to 2024 due to rationalisation of execution plan.
- All requirements for the next two years have been contracted.
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Pipeline Installation - Pipelay
- This outlook excludes requirements for pipelines replacement.
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Hook-up and Commissioning
Hook-Up and Commissioning (HUC) ties in all components of the facilities including all function tests and start-up of facilities. Outlook is stated in man-hour units as the activities are labour intensive.
- All requirements for 2024 have been contracted.
- Approximately 1.8 million man-hours planned for 2023 is expected to be carried over to 2024.
- HUC activity is expected to remain steady for year 2025 and 2026.
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Decommissioning
Decommissioning in the oil and gas industry represents the end of the facilities productive life of facilities, the process which comprises the removal and possible remediation of assets’ installation whilst avoiding environmental impact.
- All 2024-2026 requirements for facilities decommissioning have not been contracted. For Wells P&A, the contracted requirement is subject to final technical assessment based on rig availability at the time.
- PETRONAS is looking into innovative facilities decommissioning solutions focusing on technologies, re-use/re-purpose options, integrated approaches as well as identifying potential alternative removal methods to ensure cost compression, covering the above outlook with flexibility of execution plan. Thus, participation and collaboration are encouraged from all parties.